Every purchase tells a story

Explore why driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential in the pet category.

New from Cardlytics: Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain. Download the full insight bulletin today!

Since COVID, the Pet specialty retail category has seen impressive growth in spend every year. However, the rate of growth has significantly declined. The leading driver of this slow down is a decline in the volume of Pet shoppers - shopper volume only grew by 1.17% in 2023. There are less category shoppers overall, and less consumers defined as new pet parents.*

Despite fewer shoppers entering the category, existing pet parents are doting on their pets with non-essential purchases.

Of existing pet parents shopping the category in 2023, 9% were considered “doting pet parents” (+2pts vs. 2022) who make non-essential purchases for their pets (e.g. premium natural food).  This category of shoppers spends 2x more than the average pet parent.

What does this mean for you?

Driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential to increasing sales long-term, especially when the category competition is fierce. 

‍Download the full insight bulletin, and let’s chat about how Cardlytics can help drive your pet loyalty efforts. Email hello@cardlytics.com to get started.

‍Introduction 

Cardlytics helps brands understand and respond to the biggest trends in consumer behaviour, supported by spending insight from over 20 million UK bank accounts. 

In this report, we have analysed eating and drinking habits to understand how restaurants, from quick-service to fine-dining, as well as lunch spots, coffee shops and casual chains, have been impacted by the prolonged high cost-of-living. Are we still a nation addicted to coffee? Are pizza shops still hitting the spot with consumers? Are bakeries and burger chains suffering as many consumers look to embrace healthier choices??    

To help brands better understand how consumers are reacting to this extended period of high inflation, we’ve tackled all of these topics, analysing Cardlytics purchase intelligence data and providing insight and advice for brands on supporting and continuing to attract customers in today’s operating environment. 

Pizza shops getting the chop as consumers shift to alternative fast-food options   

Takeaway pizza chains are losing ground in the quick service restaurant (QSR) sector, as consumers continue to move away from pizza in favour of alternative fast-food options. 

Despite the average transaction value (ATV) at pizza restaurants increasing by only 11% between 2022 and 2024 (compared to a 21% rise in chicken shops and 18% at fast-food restaurants), diners have cut the number of visits to popular pizza takeaway chains by 20% over the same period.

This is significantly greater than the 4% reduction in visits to fast-food restaurants and 7% drop seen by chicken shops during the same period. It shows that, despite the widely reported impact of inflation on spending habits and a general rise in ATV across the QSR sector, consumers haven’t been entirely deterred from discretionary spending on the odd takeaway.

In fact, fast-food restaurants saw a 13% rise in spending between 2022 and 2024, whilst chicken shops saw an 11% increase. Comparatively, takeaway pizza restaurants saw a reduction in spending by 12%.

It appears, therefore, that despite tightening purse-strings, consumers are reluctant to forgo spending money on fast-food and chicken shops but are willing to sacrifice the occasional pizza. 

Why might this be? Perhaps it’s due to the increasing availability of similar quality products at more affordable price points in supermarkets, or it could be as a result of a growing variety of fast-food and chicken shop chains in the UK market. In any eventuality, pizza shops face a unique set of challenges that they must overcome, if they are to regain market share in the QSR sector. 

Cardlytics analysis

For pizza brands, there is a clear task at hand to ensure that they remain competitive in an increasingly busy QSR sector.

Consumers are faced with a growing number of takeout options to choose from, with chicken shop and fast-food chains from around the world recognising the opportunity available in the UK market. The rollout of up-and-coming fast-food restaurants is a clear indication of the growing choice consumers have from chains that,  when compared to 10 years ago, had little to no market presence in the UK.

In tandem, established players in the QSR sector are recognising the need to deploy more creative and effective marketing campaigns to gain a competitive edge and drive engagement amongst consumers. This has been the case amongst fast-food and chicken shop chains, where spending amongst consumers has continued to increase despite rising inflation, whereas pizza chains have suffered a significant reduction in footfall by 20%.

The data shows that, despite the macroeconomic headwinds, there is a sustained appetite for takeaway food in the QSR sector. Marketers should therefore emphasise rewarding consumers with the best possible deals to gain a competitive advantage in what is, and continues to be, a heavily saturated market. 

Coffee and quick ‘city lunch’ culture on the wane, while on-the-go bakeries see boost as cost-of-living continues to bite

As the cost-of-living continues to remain high, and disposable incomes still stretched due to unrelentingly high-interest rates, many commuting office-goers are being forced to modify their spending habits.

In fact, the broader macroeconomic challenges have had a significant impact on ‘city’ lunch brands, causing prices to hike. The knock-on effect of this on consumers is clear to see, with the average costs per transaction up 5%. This has caused consumers to seek cheaper alternatives, leading to a 9% reduction in the number of transactions made across the year, whilst overall spending has reduced by 4%. 

A similar trend can be seen in spending at high-end coffee shops, a sector which saw a 14% drop in visits. This is a higher figure than the 9% drop in visits to chain coffee shops – which saw a 5% reduction in total customer spending.

Interestingly, this is not a trend that has affected the on-the-go bakery sector, with companies such as Greggs experiencing a 4% rise in spending for the year. This did not correlate with a proportionate increase in trips to such bakeries, which saw a 1% rise. This suggests either loyalty to the brands as a result of their consistent pricing, or perhaps resulting from customers shifting from the more expensive coffee or city lunch spots to more cost-effective alternatives. 

When considered together, these trends tell an interesting story of consumers becoming increasingly conscious of their spending and subsequently moving away from more costly options to more affordable choices. 

It is certainly feasible these statistics reflect a wider shift in habits, with many commuters now opting to bring in their own lunches and source cheaper coffee options (perhaps within their offices), and typically buying food and drink at more affordable dining spots where necessary. This remains a key trend to keep an eye on as the post-covid, hybrid working era is challenged by ‘return to the office’ protocols introduced by companies and the public sector. 

Cardlytics analysis

Commuters and city workers are key consumers for coffee shops, inner-city lunch spots, and on-the-go bakeries, so it’s important to keep an eye on how these trends continue to develop and what impact these changes may have. 

Crucially, for these brands – who regularly interact with their customers – data will be key. If the behaviours of their customers are changing, what do those changes look like? Are people opting only for a sandwich and sourcing their coffee elsewhere? Perhaps customers for whom a pastry was a daily purchase are now only buying them once-a-week as a treat? Looking at an individual’s data, and using that to create tailored offers, not only shows that your brand cares, but also helps to put the right offer in front of them at the right time. 

Then, by offering incentives to customers on the days of the week they are most likely to visit the store or buy a particular item, consumers are far more likely to become repeat customers. This  becomes particularly pronounced as people continue to limit their spending in the era of high inflation and an ongoing cost-of-living crisis.

‍

Casual and upscale dining both drop off while burger chains see a hike 

Dining out is often one of the first areas of discretionary spend households look to reduce when their finances are stretched. With interest rates still at a high threshold, disposable incomes are still being spread thin for many. 

It is with this backdrop that the number of transactions within casual dining restaurants has dropped 13% year-on-year. This followed a small 2% growth in transactions between 2022 and 2023. 

However, despite the decline in trips to restaurants this year, consumers who are eating out are spending 7% more per transaction compared with the same time period in 2023. This is likely as a result of inflation hiking prices, increasing the average spend per transaction. Overall, casual dining has seen a 7% decline in  total spend by consumers. 

As purse-strings continue to tighten, upscale dining has seen a significant decline of 11% relating to trips to restaurants. With consumers clearly being more cost conscious than in recent memory, many appear to have reduced visits to more upscale restaurants in a bid to save money.

On the flip-side, burger chains – such as Honest Burger, Patty & Bun and Byron – have seen a massive 17% hike in transaction volume in the last 12 months. This has coincided with a 6% growth in the amount spent per transaction on average, contributing to an overall 12% growth in spend in burger chains this year. 

The reasons behind this could vary, numerous establishments have launched their own vegan and healthier-option burgers and  menus, for example, as well as the restaurants potentially representing a solid ‘middle ground’ for households, or an alternative between fast-food and fine-dining. 

Cardlytics analysis

The eat-in dining industry, from casual to  up-market, is still being impacted by the ongoing high cost-of-living. Whether it’s more regular purchases like a quick coffee or lunch, or something more meaningful, like a celebratory meal, customer scrutiny on spend remains high. 

For brands to continue to navigate this challenging  economic environment, clever use of data will be instrumental. This is particularly important for brands  which interact  frequently with customers,  such as coffee shops and quick service restaurants. For these brands, it is now important to  meaningfully consider what their customer data is telling them.  Which habits do their customers have? Is it a lunchtime treat every Friday? A sweet treat with their coffee as a midweek pick-me-up? 

Inspecting an individual’s data to create tailored offers shows that you understand and care about giving your customers the best  value for the brands on which they want to spend money . For most brands, the key will be offering introductory discounts to entice new customers , and longer-term personalised rewards to secure return visits.

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‍Craving more? Click through here for access to our bite size infographic

‍

Methodology

Cardlytics analysed spending trends based on its purchase intelligence data, which covers over 20 million UK bank accounts. The periods include January and February spending from the last four years (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).  

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Here to stay(cation)

According to recent Cardlytics data, we found that UK staycations will be most popular among holiday makers, with nearly half (44%) of those planning to go on holiday this year opting to stay local, compared to short-haul (38%) and long-haul (24%) destinations. Holiday lettings providers like Airbnb and Vrbo have also seen increased transaction volumes maintain year-on-year. Transaction volumes a year ago (December 2022 into January 2023) hiked 54% year-on-year, reaching 60,353 transactions, with similarly high levels this year (58,562 transactions) indicating a shift from more expensive hotel bookings.

Tour de Force

Tour operator providers such as Tui, Virgin Holidays and Jet2 have seen a continuation of their post-Covid revival, with transaction volumes growing 7% year-on-year, after a massive 61% growth against the previous period (December 2021 into January 2022). This is a further indicator of travellers seeking value where they can.

Airlines take off

Alongside those seeking to stay local, airlines such as British Airways and Virgin Atlantic also saw a rise in spending, with overall spending up 13% year-on-year, and transaction volumes up 15% in the same time period. This indicates those that can afford longer-haul destinations are prioritising doing so, as the high cost-of-living shows signs of easing. Budget airlines also saw a 3% rise in spending, with the volume of transactions up 2% year-
on-year.
According to Hannah Collins, Partnership Director, Travel: “We are continuing to see the real effect the cost-of-living crisis is having on travel spending, with the increase in domestic holiday bookings demonstrating the focus on finding more affordable getaway options. “That said, people are on the hunt for their ideal 2024 holiday – they’re just seeking the best possible deals and promotions on the market. With that in mind, travel brands and booking sites need to ensure they’re offering the most targeted and personalised discounts and rewards to ensure they continue to attract and retain customers to drive incremental growth in what’s set to be another tough operating environment this year.”

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Download our infographic here.

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Cardlytics data is based on spending from over 20 million UK bank accounts. This data is based on spending between (unless stated): The four weeks leading up to 8th January of each year:

• This year (2023/24): 7th December 2023 – 8th January 2024
• Last year (2022/23): 8th December 2022 – 7th January 2023
• 2021/22: 9th December 2021 – 6 th January 2022

The poll was conducted by Opinium, based on a sample of 2,000 adults between 12-16th January 2024.

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Cardlytics recently took the stage with Lyft at eTail East in Boston, MA to explore how marketers can elevate their approach to growth marketing and stay ahead of data deprecation. 

Within the ever-changing retail and DTC industry, marketing leaders need to be able to demonstrate the impact that their advertising spend is having on revenue generation and corporate strategy.  Kevin Hsu, Director, Growth Marketing at Lyft and Nate Bucholz, Vice President, Advertising Partnerships at Cardlytics discussed how leveraging a data-drive approach to growth marketing drives measurable revenue for the rideshare leader. 

Watch the full video below!

Looking to explore how Cardlytics Purchase Insights can help you engage customers in a one-of-a-kind native ad platform? Get started.

Sleigh this Holiday Shopping Season

The 2023 holiday season is just around the corner, and this year consumers will be headed to their favorite online and in-store brands earlier than ever! 

As we gear up for the 2023 holiday season, Cardlytics' comprehensive analysis of nearly $380 billion in consumer holiday spending over the past three years equips marketers with essential insights to win more during this critical period. Access our full 2023 Holiday Infographic here. 

Decoding the 2023 Holiday Analysis

Holiday 2022 witnessed a 3% drop compared to the previous year, attributed to reduced spending per customer, fewer transactions per customer, and slower growth in average transaction size. Given the lingering economic challenges from the previous year, brands need inventive strategies to incentivize consumer spending during this holiday season.

Interestingly, a shift in spending behavior has been observed, with holiday spend moving back to brick-and-mortar retailers from online channels. This contrasts with the Back-to-School analysis by Cardlytics, which saw online spending was up for both B&M.coms and online only brands. This shift underscores the significance of an omni-channel approach, ensuring that brands are present where consumers choose to shop, whether in-store or online.

Early Birds and Mass Merchandisers

An intriguing trend emerging from the analysis is the increasing percentage of spending occurring within the initial three weeks of the holiday season year over year. Consumers are diving into their shopping lists earlier and earlier, demanding that brands engage with them during this period.

When it comes to dominating the holiday market share, Mass Merchandisers are the frontrunners, holding a whopping 58% of the total wallet share. As consumers grow more price-conscious, Mass Merchandisers are poised to leverage this shift in consumer behavior to their advantage. The Apparel category is also gaining momentum, presenting an opportunity for brands to bolster their presence and profits.

Unwrap the secret to success with Cardlytics 

Through strategic partnerships with banks, Cardlytics possesses an extraordinary advantage - access to the transaction data of over 186 million consumers. This invaluable resource empowers brands with a detailed understanding of consumer purchasing patterns, offering a holistic view of when, where, and how people shop.

The holiday season is approaching rapidly, and with it comes the opportunity for retail brands to acquire new customers and grow loyalty with existing shoppers. In this competitive landscape, making informed decisions is crucial to stand out from the crowd. That's where Cardlytics comes into play, providing real insights from real bank customers to support retail brands in navigating the complexities of the upcoming holiday season. Get started today.

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Explore why driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential in the pet category.

New from Cardlytics: Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain. Download the full insight bulletin today!

Since COVID, the Pet specialty retail category has seen impressive growth in spend every year. However, the rate of growth has significantly declined. The leading driver of this slow down is a decline in the volume of Pet shoppers - shopper volume only grew by 1.17% in 2023. There are less category shoppers overall, and less consumers defined as new pet parents.*

Despite fewer shoppers entering the category, existing pet parents are doting on their pets with non-essential purchases.

Of existing pet parents shopping the category in 2023, 9% were considered “doting pet parents” (+2pts vs. 2022) who make non-essential purchases for their pets (e.g. premium natural food).  This category of shoppers spends 2x more than the average pet parent.

What does this mean for you?

Driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential to increasing sales long-term, especially when the category competition is fierce. 

‍Download the full insight bulletin, and let’s chat about how Cardlytics can help drive your pet loyalty efforts. Email hello@cardlytics.com to get started.

‍Introduction 

Cardlytics helps brands understand and respond to the biggest trends in consumer behaviour, supported by spending insight from over 20 million UK bank accounts. 

In this report, we have analysed eating and drinking habits to understand how restaurants, from quick-service to fine-dining, as well as lunch spots, coffee shops and casual chains, have been impacted by the prolonged high cost-of-living. Are we still a nation addicted to coffee? Are pizza shops still hitting the spot with consumers? Are bakeries and burger chains suffering as many consumers look to embrace healthier choices??    

To help brands better understand how consumers are reacting to this extended period of high inflation, we’ve tackled all of these topics, analysing Cardlytics purchase intelligence data and providing insight and advice for brands on supporting and continuing to attract customers in today’s operating environment. 

Pizza shops getting the chop as consumers shift to alternative fast-food options   

Takeaway pizza chains are losing ground in the quick service restaurant (QSR) sector, as consumers continue to move away from pizza in favour of alternative fast-food options. 

Despite the average transaction value (ATV) at pizza restaurants increasing by only 11% between 2022 and 2024 (compared to a 21% rise in chicken shops and 18% at fast-food restaurants), diners have cut the number of visits to popular pizza takeaway chains by 20% over the same period.

This is significantly greater than the 4% reduction in visits to fast-food restaurants and 7% drop seen by chicken shops during the same period. It shows that, despite the widely reported impact of inflation on spending habits and a general rise in ATV across the QSR sector, consumers haven’t been entirely deterred from discretionary spending on the odd takeaway.

In fact, fast-food restaurants saw a 13% rise in spending between 2022 and 2024, whilst chicken shops saw an 11% increase. Comparatively, takeaway pizza restaurants saw a reduction in spending by 12%.

It appears, therefore, that despite tightening purse-strings, consumers are reluctant to forgo spending money on fast-food and chicken shops but are willing to sacrifice the occasional pizza. 

Why might this be? Perhaps it’s due to the increasing availability of similar quality products at more affordable price points in supermarkets, or it could be as a result of a growing variety of fast-food and chicken shop chains in the UK market. In any eventuality, pizza shops face a unique set of challenges that they must overcome, if they are to regain market share in the QSR sector. 

Cardlytics analysis

For pizza brands, there is a clear task at hand to ensure that they remain competitive in an increasingly busy QSR sector.

Consumers are faced with a growing number of takeout options to choose from, with chicken shop and fast-food chains from around the world recognising the opportunity available in the UK market. The rollout of up-and-coming fast-food restaurants is a clear indication of the growing choice consumers have from chains that,  when compared to 10 years ago, had little to no market presence in the UK.

In tandem, established players in the QSR sector are recognising the need to deploy more creative and effective marketing campaigns to gain a competitive edge and drive engagement amongst consumers. This has been the case amongst fast-food and chicken shop chains, where spending amongst consumers has continued to increase despite rising inflation, whereas pizza chains have suffered a significant reduction in footfall by 20%.

The data shows that, despite the macroeconomic headwinds, there is a sustained appetite for takeaway food in the QSR sector. Marketers should therefore emphasise rewarding consumers with the best possible deals to gain a competitive advantage in what is, and continues to be, a heavily saturated market. 

Coffee and quick ‘city lunch’ culture on the wane, while on-the-go bakeries see boost as cost-of-living continues to bite

As the cost-of-living continues to remain high, and disposable incomes still stretched due to unrelentingly high-interest rates, many commuting office-goers are being forced to modify their spending habits.

In fact, the broader macroeconomic challenges have had a significant impact on ‘city’ lunch brands, causing prices to hike. The knock-on effect of this on consumers is clear to see, with the average costs per transaction up 5%. This has caused consumers to seek cheaper alternatives, leading to a 9% reduction in the number of transactions made across the year, whilst overall spending has reduced by 4%. 

A similar trend can be seen in spending at high-end coffee shops, a sector which saw a 14% drop in visits. This is a higher figure than the 9% drop in visits to chain coffee shops – which saw a 5% reduction in total customer spending.

Interestingly, this is not a trend that has affected the on-the-go bakery sector, with companies such as Greggs experiencing a 4% rise in spending for the year. This did not correlate with a proportionate increase in trips to such bakeries, which saw a 1% rise. This suggests either loyalty to the brands as a result of their consistent pricing, or perhaps resulting from customers shifting from the more expensive coffee or city lunch spots to more cost-effective alternatives. 

When considered together, these trends tell an interesting story of consumers becoming increasingly conscious of their spending and subsequently moving away from more costly options to more affordable choices. 

It is certainly feasible these statistics reflect a wider shift in habits, with many commuters now opting to bring in their own lunches and source cheaper coffee options (perhaps within their offices), and typically buying food and drink at more affordable dining spots where necessary. This remains a key trend to keep an eye on as the post-covid, hybrid working era is challenged by ‘return to the office’ protocols introduced by companies and the public sector. 

Cardlytics analysis

Commuters and city workers are key consumers for coffee shops, inner-city lunch spots, and on-the-go bakeries, so it’s important to keep an eye on how these trends continue to develop and what impact these changes may have. 

Crucially, for these brands – who regularly interact with their customers – data will be key. If the behaviours of their customers are changing, what do those changes look like? Are people opting only for a sandwich and sourcing their coffee elsewhere? Perhaps customers for whom a pastry was a daily purchase are now only buying them once-a-week as a treat? Looking at an individual’s data, and using that to create tailored offers, not only shows that your brand cares, but also helps to put the right offer in front of them at the right time. 

Then, by offering incentives to customers on the days of the week they are most likely to visit the store or buy a particular item, consumers are far more likely to become repeat customers. This  becomes particularly pronounced as people continue to limit their spending in the era of high inflation and an ongoing cost-of-living crisis.

‍

Casual and upscale dining both drop off while burger chains see a hike 

Dining out is often one of the first areas of discretionary spend households look to reduce when their finances are stretched. With interest rates still at a high threshold, disposable incomes are still being spread thin for many. 

It is with this backdrop that the number of transactions within casual dining restaurants has dropped 13% year-on-year. This followed a small 2% growth in transactions between 2022 and 2023. 

However, despite the decline in trips to restaurants this year, consumers who are eating out are spending 7% more per transaction compared with the same time period in 2023. This is likely as a result of inflation hiking prices, increasing the average spend per transaction. Overall, casual dining has seen a 7% decline in  total spend by consumers. 

As purse-strings continue to tighten, upscale dining has seen a significant decline of 11% relating to trips to restaurants. With consumers clearly being more cost conscious than in recent memory, many appear to have reduced visits to more upscale restaurants in a bid to save money.

On the flip-side, burger chains – such as Honest Burger, Patty & Bun and Byron – have seen a massive 17% hike in transaction volume in the last 12 months. This has coincided with a 6% growth in the amount spent per transaction on average, contributing to an overall 12% growth in spend in burger chains this year. 

The reasons behind this could vary, numerous establishments have launched their own vegan and healthier-option burgers and  menus, for example, as well as the restaurants potentially representing a solid ‘middle ground’ for households, or an alternative between fast-food and fine-dining. 

Cardlytics analysis

The eat-in dining industry, from casual to  up-market, is still being impacted by the ongoing high cost-of-living. Whether it’s more regular purchases like a quick coffee or lunch, or something more meaningful, like a celebratory meal, customer scrutiny on spend remains high. 

For brands to continue to navigate this challenging  economic environment, clever use of data will be instrumental. This is particularly important for brands  which interact  frequently with customers,  such as coffee shops and quick service restaurants. For these brands, it is now important to  meaningfully consider what their customer data is telling them.  Which habits do their customers have? Is it a lunchtime treat every Friday? A sweet treat with their coffee as a midweek pick-me-up? 

Inspecting an individual’s data to create tailored offers shows that you understand and care about giving your customers the best  value for the brands on which they want to spend money . For most brands, the key will be offering introductory discounts to entice new customers , and longer-term personalised rewards to secure return visits.

‍

‍Craving more? Click through here for access to our bite size infographic

‍

Methodology

Cardlytics analysed spending trends based on its purchase intelligence data, which covers over 20 million UK bank accounts. The periods include January and February spending from the last four years (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).  

‍

COVID’s long-term impact on consumer spending

As the world recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic, some pandemic lifestyle changes like mask-wearing in the U.S. remain common. America’s spending habits, however, are starting to return to pre-pandemic trends. 

After two years of disruption, we took a look back at COVID’s long-term impact and made it the focus of our quarterly State of Spend report. We were curious: Which industries have returned to normal and continue to grow, and which still suffer? Which became disruptors? And is inflation affecting buying patterns?

Cardlytics powers digital advertising for banks and financial partners, and has insight into one of every two credit card swipes in the U.S. We share this Purchase Intelligence of where, when and how consumers are shopping to help marketers identify opportunities to reach people with relevant ads. Here are some of the most compelling findings from consumer spending from 2019 through 2022.

Inflation persists

When looking at overall spending and transactions last year, a 5% year-over-year (YoY) increase in total spending occurred from 2021 to 2022 but there was only a 1% increase in the number of transactions, a key indicator of inflation. What’s more, when comparing 2022 to before the pandemic in 2019, we saw a 24% increase in household spending but only a 4% increase in transactions. Consumers are making relatively fewer, more expensive purchases. Despite inflation, and in part fueled by inflation, consumer spending in the United States continues to rise. So, how are people using their discretionary funds? 

Office Supplies sales thrive with work-from-home policies

A deeper look shows how COVID has affected consumer spending specific categories — for better or worse. Office Supplies, for example, had steady growth throughout 2020 as people scrambled to equip home offices and stay productive during lockdowns. Then as 2021 set in with Delta and other COVID variants, sales of office essentials continued to grow strong. 

In 2022, as COVID subsided, and return-to-office policies were implemented — or people had their home offices fully set up — Office Supply sales dropped 32% versus 2021. Spend and transaction volumes of Office Supplies show that people are making more frequent, lower-dollar purchases, with transaction volumes up 15% versus 2019, but sales up only 2%.

Restaurant Delivery is no longer just pizza delivery

One standout category skyrocketed and was transformed by COVID: Restaurant Delivery. The category saw unprecedented growth and arguably a decade worth of technological innovation in a matter of months. 

Restaurant Delivery purchases jumped 97% YoY from 2019-2020, with an overall 184% growth in 2022 versus 2019. Although the category began to plateau in 2022 as restaurants reopened, deliveries didn’t decrease. With similar increases in both spend and transaction volume, both purchase amounts and frequency of Restaurant Delivery continue to grow.  

Travel dips but recovers; Entertainment stays steady

Several categories that have been faltering are showing strong signs of recovery. To no one’s surprise, the onset of COVID hammered Travel spending most of all. Yet in 2022, Travel and Entertainment enjoyed a recovery, with spending up 27% from the previous year. Airlines have nearly recovered to the state they were in 2019. Spending is up 4% from 2019 to 2022; however, transaction volume is down 10%. There is lower occupancy, but everything is costing more. 

Categories like Concerts, Theater, Sporting Events, and Tickets are holding relatively steady on pricing, as both the number of transactions and dollars spent show that this industry is beginning to thrive again. Entertainment spending also continues to rise quarter by quarter, as do offer activation rates and ad campaign spends. 

Canine company, DIY food, and outdoor adventure

Our pandemic purchases reflected our adoption of millions of dogs and other pets, with a 51% increase in Pet spending from 2019 to 2022. Also, as lockdowns went into effect in the spring of 2020 to slow the spread of the coronavirus and reduce stress, reports emerged of a global gardening boom, with plants, flowers, vegetables and herbs sprouting in backyards and on balconies. Our data backs up the narrative: there was a 34% increase in Home and Garden spending from 2019 to 2022. We also ventured outdoors for safe recreation and fresh air, with a 33% increase in spending on Sporting & Outdoor Goods during the same period. 

How do we know all this?

We have a “whole wallet” view into consumer purchase behavior, with insights into one out of every two credit card swipes in the U.S. Cardlytics offers a brand-safe, fraud-free advertising platform inside our financial institution partners’ digital channels. That means we can predict future shopping preferences using past purchase behavior. Our insights help brands reach people and positively influence their purchase decisions with relevant ads that reward them with cash back, frictionlessly.

Sitting at the halfway point of the Golden Quarter, Black Friday is a crucial bellwether on consumer spending, indicating how retailers are performing and what they can expect over the critical festive period. This year saw Brits spend nearly £10 million less than in 2021 as rising inflation and the cost-of-living crisis tightened consumers’ belts.

A recent survey by Cardlytics found that over half of consumers (53%) plan to put fewer presents under the Christmas tree this year. At the same time, a similar number (46%) have said they have started shopping for presents earlier in order to spread the cost.

So, what effect did this have on Black Friday sales this year and what insight can this give us into the outlook for retailers this Golden Quarter?

Tighter budgets impact traditional Black Friday winners

Cardlytics spend data across 24 million UK bank accounts shows that total spend across key retail verticals this Black Friday weekend was £220 million – a reduction of 9% year on year. Black Friday itself saw a 6% dip in the number of transactions when compared with 2021.

Strikingly, the categories that took the biggest hit were those most often associated with Black Friday. Fashion and clothing saw some of the largest declines, with spend at fast fashion brands decreasing 30% year on year and the number of transactions declining by 31%.

It was a similar story for luxury brands which saw spend down 23% year on year and transactions dip by 17%.

Make-up and electrical goods, two sectors traditionally targeted in the sales, also saw weaker activity across Black Friday with spend falling 18% and 19% respectively.

Sales of less traditional Black Friday categories have fared somewhat better. Sporting goods were the standout stars this year seeing spend increasing by 2% compared to 2021 and transactions declining by 1%.

Learnings for Christmas

With people planning to spend less on festivities this year, and a weaker Black Friday than previous years, the Golden Quarter is likely to lose some of its shine for retailers. Consumer prices are continuing to increase and discretionary spend is on the decline, resulting in increased levels of caution around spending. Spend is shifting away from ‘aspirational’ items and gifting for Christmas to more practical, everyday purchases such as sporting goods.

We also know that consumers are looking for value from their shopping with nearly three in five (57%) planning to spend more time searching for deals for gifts. Retailers can tap into this by focusing on core product ranges that give customers value for money and by offering tailored discounts on the products they need the most – be it for gifts or when thinking about the January sales.

Are sales enough?

As Black Friday has shown, blanket discounts aren’t enough to get consumers through the door anymore. News stories have pointed to Black Friday discounts being less significant than they appear, resulting in a seemingly increased level of scepticism around such sales.  

As retailers look to Christmas and the frenzy of Boxing Day sales, this is an opportunity to take a more personalised approach to consumers – offering them tailored discounts on the brands and items that mean the most to them based on their shopping habits.

In times of financial challenge, helping people feel they have got a genuine deal on items that are worth buying has become more critical than ever and will help to build loyalty for brands in the long run.

Retailers have long been aware of the requirement for personalisation to drive sales and customer loyalty. As the cost of living crisis deepens, the need for this personal touch will only intensify – and those that can deliver on this, learning from Black Friday, will be the ones that build brand loyalty for the long-term, driving clear outcomes for the top and bottom lines.